Findings from continuous watching

The hardest reservations in America, measured

"Impossible to book" is usually a vibe. We made it a number. Our scouts have been checking 58 of the most contested reservation targets in the country every 15 minutes — around the clock, for up to 52 days, ≈243,691 checks — recording every time a reserved date flipped open and how long it survived. This page recomputes from the live log on every visit, so it sharpens as the data grows.

Campsites

The shutouts: never open, not once

Every campground below has been fully booked on every single check since we started watching it. No cancellation we could catch, no momentary opening wider than our 15-minute net. This is the measured shape of "you can't get this site."

CampgroundWatchedChecksOpenings seen
Dorst Creek Sequoia & Kings Canyon National Parks52 days≈4,9920
Campsites

Caught openings — and how fast they died

These campgrounds do open. The catch: the median opening is gone by our very next look. Lifetimes are bounds between our own observations — an opening "gone within ≤15 min" may have lasted seconds.

CampgroundOpeningsRateTypical lifetime
Camp 4 Yosemite National Park22 since Sep 286/wkgone within ≤15 min (median)
Many Glacier Glacier National Park37 since Sep 2255/wkgone within ≤16 min (median)
Crane Flat Yosemite National Park27 since Sep 177/wkgone within ≤16 min (median)
Assateague Oceanside Assateague Island National Seashore25 since Sep 2128/wkgone within ≤16 min (median)
Lodgepole Sequoia & Kings Canyon National Parks25 since Sep 295/wkgone within ≤16 min (median)
Lower Pines Yosemite National Park23 since Sep 173/wkgone within ≤16 min (median)
Fish Creek Glacier National Park57 since Aug 2858/wkgone within ≤17 min (median)
Indian Cove Joshua Tree National Park51 since Jul 146.9/wkgone within ≤17 min (median)
Slough Creek Yellowstone National Park33 since Aug 2219/wkgone within ≤17 min (median)
Kalaloch Olympic National Park30 since Sep 2148/wkgone within ≤19 min (median)
North Pines Yosemite National Park27 since Sep 2105/wkgone within ≤29 min (median)
Ryan Joshua Tree National Park51 since Jul 146.9/wkgone within ≤30 min (median)
Upper Pines Yosemite National Park36 since Sep 3337/wkgone within ≤30 min (median)
Moraine Park Rocky Mountain National Park32 since Sep 3255/wkgone within ≤30 min (median)
St. Mary Glacier National Park31 since Aug 1310/wkgone within ≤30 min (median)
Jumbo Rocks Joshua Tree National Park56 since Jul 249.4/wkgone within ≤31 min (median)
Cougar Rock Mount Rainier National Park31 since Sep 2205/wkgone within ≤31 min (median)
Tuolumne Meadows Yosemite National Park28 since Sep 3265/wkgone within ≤31 min (median)
San Onofre Bluffs California State Parks25 since Aug 1811/wkgone within ≤32 min (median)
Sol Duc Olympic National Park23 since Sep 284/wkgone within ≤45 min (median)
Schoodic Woods Acadia National Park42 since Aug 2843/wkgone within ≤46 min (median)
Jenny Lake Grand Teton National Park33 since Sep 1104/wkgone within ≤46 min (median)
Blackwoods Acadia National Park31 since Sep 2141/wkgone within ≤46 min (median)
Platte River Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore30 since Sep 172/wkgone within ≤46 min (median)
Seawall Acadia National Park25 since Sep 174/wkgone within ≤46 min (median)
Carpinteria State Beach California State Parks45 since Aug 1819/wkgone within ≤47 min (median)
Leo Carrillo California State Parks38 since Aug 2529/wkgone within ≤47 min (median)
Potwisha Sequoia & Kings Canyon National Parks45 since Aug 1819/wkgone within ≤60 min (median)
Hodgdon Meadow Yosemite National Park27 since Sep 2108/wkgone within ≤60 min (median)
Hoh Rainforest Olympic National Park24 since Aug 3146/wkgone within ≤60 min (median)
Apgar Glacier National Park48 since Sep 2341/wkgone within ≤61 min (median)
Fruita Capitol Reef National Park37 since Sep 1113/wkgone within ≤61 min (median)
Mammoth Yellowstone National Park30 since Sep 2171/wkgone within ≤61 min (median)
San Elijo State Beach California State Parks40 since Aug 2325/wkgone within ≤62 min (median)
New Brighton State Beach California State Parks32 since Aug 1814/wkgone within ≤62 min (median)
Wawona Yosemite National Park28 since Sep 2180/wkgone within ≤76 min (median)
El Capitán State Beach California State Parks40 since Aug 911/wkgone within ≤77 min (median)
South Zion National Park55 since Jul 269.7/wkgone within ≤86 min (median)
Cottonwood Joshua Tree National Park59 since Aug 715/wkgone within ≤91 min (median)
Refugio State Beach California State Parks40 since Aug 2121/wkgone within ≤94 min (median)
Cades Cove Great Smoky Mountains National Park23 since Sep 168/wkgone within ≤104 min (median)
Watchman Zion National Park23 since Sep 178/wkgone within ≤106 min (median)
Black Rock Joshua Tree National Park45 since Jul 146.1/wkgone within ≤107 min (median)
Doheny State Beach California State Parks34 since Aug 2839/wkgone within ≤113 min (median)
South Carlsbad State Beach California State Parks35 since Aug 2734/wkgone within ≤123 min (median)
Moro (Crystal Cove) California State Parks52 since Jul 248.7/wkgone within ≤128 min (median)
Steep Ravine (Mount Tamalpais) California State Parks20 since Aug 167.7/wkgone within ≤139 min (median)
Signal Mountain Grand Teton National Park33 since Sep 1104/wkgone within ≤150 min (median)
Kirby Cove Golden Gate National Recreation Area23 since Aug 179.4/wkgone within ≤196 min (median)
Bodega Dunes (Sonoma Coast) California State Parks31 since Aug 2015/wkgone within ≤200 min (median)
Devils Garden Arches National Park27 since Sep 167/wkgone within ≤210 min (median)
Pfeiffer Big Sur California State Parks35 since Aug 1412/wkgone within ≤401 min (median)
Wright's Beach (Sonoma Coast) California State Parks28 since Aug 1611/wkgone within ≤415 min (median)
Julia Pfeiffer Burns California State Parks3 since Jul 230.5/wkgone within ≤983 min (median)
Desert View Grand Canyon National Park42 since Jul 145.7/wkgone within ≤3916 min (median)
Mather Grand Canyon National Park40 since Jul 145.4/wkstill open at last check
North Rim Grand Canyon National Park40 since Jul 145.4/wkstill open at last check
Methodology

How these numbers are made

One shared checker per target polls the venue's own reservation system about every 15 minutes and stores a snapshot. A "opening" is a date that was unavailable on one check and available on the next; its lifetime is bounded by when a later check saw it gone. We can only report what happened between our looks — anything that appeared and vanished inside one interval is invisible to us, so every count here is a floor, not a total. Openings-per-week rates are computed over each target's retained observation window (shown per row). California state-park targets are checked through an on-the-ground relay and have a shorter history than the rest.

Want the next opening at any of these? Each target page has a scout that emails you the moment it happens — campsites.